Active vs. Passive Active Management

The goals of this research paper are several: first, to measure the statistical significance of every percentile in the cross-sectional (i.e., across a given Morningstar category) distribution of alphas; second, to use the statistical significance percentile data to designate particular Morningstar categories as candidates for either active or passive management; and third, to conduct predictive analysis along several dimensions to formulate an a priori decision rule for selecting funds with the highest probability of future outperformance.